The short version
This page does not forecast prices. It lists what has happened, with dates and sources. Nothing here says, or should be read as saying, that prices in Chitose or Eniwa will rise. A factory, jobs or subsidies do not guarantee higher property prices, and the market has already moved.
- Land in Chitose (buyer survey, median ¥/㎡): about ¥28,000 a year from 2015 to 2019; ¥30,094 in 2020, ¥35,895 in 2021, ¥60,606 in 2025. The clear rise started in 2021 (after a smaller step in 2020), before Rapidus was founded (August 2022) and before it chose Chitose (February 2023). This data cannot show how much of the rise is due to Rapidus.
- 2021→2025: Chitose land +69%, Eniwa land +64%, Sapporo's ten wards +9%.
- House sales (closed prices) in Chitose went from 61 in 2022 to 122 in 2025; Eniwa 52 → 91.
- Official land prices: Chitose's commercial points were Japan's top risers in 2025 and 2026, but the rise narrowed in 2026 (average commercial change +29.7% vs +37.8% a year earlier).
- Population is flat: Chitose about 97,000–98,000 since 2021, Eniwa about 70,000. Chitose's vacancy rate was 13.4% in 2023.
Rapidus: dated facts
| Date | Fact |
|---|---|
| 2022-08-10 | Rapidus Corporation founded (head office: Chiyoda, Tokyo). source |
| 2023-02-28 | Rapidus announces Chitose, Hokkaido as the site of its plant. source |
| 2023-09-01 | Groundbreaking of the IIM-1 plant at the Chitose Bibi World industrial park; the plan at the time: pilot line April 2025, mass production 2027. source |
| April 2025 | Pilot line start-up begins at IIM-1. source |
| 2025-07-18 | Rapidus reports prototype 2 nm GAA transistors made at IIM-1 and confirmed to operate. source |
| 2025-11 | Company plan (METI document): start 2 nm mass production in the second half of fiscal 2027. This is a target, not a fact. source |
| to FY2026 | Government R&D funding decided for Rapidus: up to ¥1.7225 trillion through FY2025 and up to ¥631.5 billion for FY2026 (these are caps, not amounts paid). source |
| 2026-02 / 2026-06 | Government investment through IPA: ¥100 billion, then ¥150 billion more. source |
| end April 2026 | Rapidus employs 1,200+ regular staff (METI progress report, July 2026). source |
| 2025-11-26 | Media reported a second plant (IIM-2); Rapidus said the timing reports were not its announcement. No official plan for a second plant. source |
Facts from the company and METI, with dates. Plans and targets are labelled as such. Subsidy figures are upper limits (支援上限). We do not use any of these facts as a reason to expect higher property prices.
Land prices 2015–2025
Land price per ㎡, median, 2015–2025 (buyer survey)
Chitose's median land price per ㎡ barely moved from 2015 to 2019, then rose from 2020. Eniwa followed a similar path. Sapporo's ten wards rose earlier and have been flat since 2022. These are medians of whatever plots sold each year (roughly 60–150 a year per city), so part of any change is a change in which plots sold.
Houses and condos
Houses (land + building), closed prices. Price per ㎡ is per ㎡ of land. Chitose's median per ㎡: ¥84,955 in 2021, ¥97,460 in 2025; Eniwa: ¥73,171 → ¥89,157.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitose closed | US$130,000 ¥84,955/㎡ · n=76 | US$127,000 ¥83,077/㎡ · n=61 | US$140,000 ¥85,637/㎡ · n=95 | US$152,000 ¥88,889/㎡ · n=75 | US$159,000 ¥97,460/㎡ · n=122 |
| Eniwa closed | US$133,000 ¥73,171/㎡ · n=59 | US$117,000 ¥76,732/㎡ · n=52 | US$143,000 ¥88,235/㎡ · n=38 | US$136,000 ¥86,285/㎡ · n=66 | US$146,000 ¥89,157/㎡ · n=91 |
Houses, buyer survey (a separate series, not pooled)
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitose buyer survey | US$146,000 ¥83,667/㎡ · n=164 | US$152,000 ¥83,602/㎡ · n=135 | US$159,000 ¥97,826/㎡ · n=138 | US$178,000 ¥113,636/㎡ · n=137 | US$175,000 ¥103,997/㎡ · n=114 |
| Eniwa buyer survey | US$133,000 ¥75,000/㎡ · n=137 | US$121,000 ¥68,182/㎡ · n=114 | US$130,000 ¥82,609/㎡ · n=100 | US$114,000 ¥66,667/㎡ · n=100 | US$133,000 ¥66,667/㎡ · n=95 |
Condos are few. Chitose: 19–29 closed sales a year, and the median jumps (¥/㎡ per floor area):
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitose closed | US$30,000 ¥62,829/㎡ · n=28 | US$38,000 ¥71,111/㎡ · n=23 | US$43,000 ¥160,000/㎡ · n=19 | US$36,000 ¥82,937/㎡ · n=24 | US$39,000 ¥95,000/㎡ · n=29 |
Eniwa has only 7–10 closed condo sales a year, so we show the five years together: 41 sales in 2021-2025, median ¥12.0m (middle half ¥8.90m–¥14.0m), ¥150,769/㎡ (¥124,000–¥185,714). Neither city has any buyer-survey condo records in 2015–2025.
Quarterly sales, 2022 Q1 – 2026 Q1
Number of sales and median ¥/㎡ per quarter. With 10–40 sales a quarter the medians swing a lot; the counts are more telling. Chitose closed house sales: 13–18 a quarter in 2022, 25–36 in 2025. The newest quarter can still gain records.
Quarterly table
| Quarter | Chitose Houses (closed) | Chitose Land (survey) | Eniwa Houses (closed) | Eniwa Land (survey) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022Q1 | 13 ¥85k | 31 ¥43k | 12 ¥81k | 23 ¥43k |
| 2022Q2 | 16 ¥82k | 23 ¥53k | 17 ¥85k | 14 ¥48k |
| 2022Q3 | 14 ¥85k | 32 ¥47k | 9 ¥85k | 24 ¥47k |
| 2022Q4 | 18 ¥85k | 21 ¥50k | 14 ¥69k | 15 ¥46k |
| 2023Q1 | 23 ¥60k | 23 ¥61k | 7 ¥94k | 12 ¥34k |
| 2023Q2 | 15 ¥65k | 27 ¥54k | 11 ¥81k | 26 ¥46k |
| 2023Q3 | 31 ¥88k | 26 ¥52k | 9 ¥117k | 27 ¥40k |
| 2023Q4 | 26 ¥105k | 26 ¥49k | 11 ¥73k | 24 ¥42k |
| 2024Q1 | 20 ¥78k | 33 ¥54k | 17 ¥74k | 10 ¥46k |
| 2024Q2 | 20 ¥109k | 26 ¥58k | 14 ¥92k | 22 ¥46k |
| 2024Q3 | 13 ¥51k | 17 ¥58k | 20 ¥109k | 21 ¥53k |
| 2024Q4 | 22 ¥69k | 34 ¥53k | 15 ¥68k | 28 ¥48k |
| 2025Q1 | 25 ¥89k | 24 ¥61k | 17 ¥86k | 16 ¥59k |
| 2025Q2 | 36 ¥94k | 23 ¥61k | 22 ¥93k | 22 ¥50k |
| 2025Q3 | 31 ¥115k | 25 ¥57k | 23 ¥87k | 17 ¥50k |
| 2025Q4 | 30 ¥78k | 23 ¥64k | 29 ¥98k | 26 ¥55k |
| 2026Q1 | 23 ¥75k | 9 ¥61k | 20 ¥74k | 10 ¥43k |
Official land prices
Appraised bare-land values per ㎡ (not sale prices). Average change = simple mean of continuing points (Chitose: published figure; † = our recalculation, as no published figure was found). Five-year = median change 2021→2026.
Land Price Publication, 1 January 2026 (公示地価)
| Residential median | avg. change | 5 yr | Commercial median | avg. change | 5 yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitose | ¥52,000/㎡ (19) | +6.8% prev. +6.0% | +80.5% | ¥144,000/㎡ (5) | +29.7% prev. +37.8% | +240.8% |
| Eniwa | ¥47,000/㎡ (19) | +5.2%† | +88.4% | ¥57,500/㎡ (6) | +7.5%† | +85.7% |
Land Price Survey, 1 July 2026 (基準地価)
| Residential median | avg. change | 5 yr | Commercial median | avg. change | 5 yr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitose | ¥67,500/㎡ (10) | +8.4%† | +83.6% | ¥174,500/㎡ (4) | +20.6%† | +200.5% |
| Eniwa | ¥46,750/㎡ (8) | +5.7%† | +85.7% | ¥64,000/㎡ (2) | +6.2%† | +73.7% |
Chitose in MLIT's national rankings (largest rises)
| Survey | Use | Rank | Points | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Land Price Publication 2025 (1 Jan) | Commercial | No. 1–3 in Japan | 千歳5-4 +48.8% / 千歳5-3 +42.9% / 千歳5-2 +36.8% | MLIT PDF |
| Land Price Publication 2025 (1 Jan) | Residential | No. 4 | 千歳-19 +22.9% | MLIT PDF |
| Land Price Survey 2025 (1 Jul) | Commercial | No. 1–3 | 千歳5-2 +31.4% / 千歳5-3 +29.9% / 千歳5-1 +29.6% | MLIT PDF |
| Land Price Survey 2025 (1 Jul) | Residential | No. 2 and 3 | 千歳-1 +23.2% / 千歳-3 +23.1% | MLIT PDF |
| Land Price Publication 2026 (1 Jan) | Commercial | No. 1, 2 and 4 | 千歳5-3 +44.1% / 千歳5-2 +38.5% / 千歳5-4 +34.4% | MLIT PDF |
| Land Price Publication 2026 (1 Jan) | Residential | not in the top 10 | 千歳-19 +19.1% (10th place: +20.0%) | MLIT PDF |
| Land Price Survey 2026 (1 Jul) | Commercial | No. 5 | 千歳5-2 +25.2% (2025: +31.4%) | MLIT PDF |
| Land Price Survey 2026 (1 Jul) | Residential | not in the top 10 | 千歳-3 +17.4% | MLIT PDF |
The rises were smaller in 2026 than in 2025: the top commercial point in the July survey went from +31.4% to +25.2%.
What an appraiser said. In Sapporo City's council material on the 2026 land prices, a real-estate appraiser described the mood around Chitose as “somewhat overheated; the appropriate price needs to be judged carefully” (社会的雰囲気が過熱気味。適正価格の見極めが必要) and the Rapidus effect on detached houses as “limited” (戸建へのラピダス影響は限定的). Source: Sapporo City council material, 2026 (PDF, Japanese).
Population and vacant homes
| Chitose | 97,919 2021-01-01 | 97,690 2022-01-01 | 97,639 2023-01-01 | 97,962 2024-01-01 | 97,326 2025-01-01 | 97,007 2026-01-01 | 97,398 2026-09-01 |
| Eniwa | 70,097 2020-12-31 | 70,108 2021-12-31 | 70,179 2022-12-31 | 70,354 2023-12-31 | 70,446 2024-12-31 | 70,159 2025-12-31 | 70,031 2026-08-31 |
Resident register (Japanese + foreign residents). Chitose: city statistics; Eniwa: city statistics (month-end figures).
| Area | Vacancy rate | Vacant homes | All homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chitose | 13.4% | 6,830 | 51,060 |
| Eniwa | 11.7% | 4,050 | 34,500 |
| Sapporo | 13.8% | 155,800 | 1,128,200 |
| Hokkaido | 15.6% | 451,900 | 2,888,500 |
| Japan | 13.8% | 9,001,600 | 65,046,700 |
2023 Housing and Land Survey (1 October 2023, estimates rounded to 10), Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, e-Stat. In Chitose, 5,040 of the 6,830 vacant homes are rental units.
Local agents in this area (not affiliated)
- ENYA (圓家株式会社), Sapporo: Traditional Chinese, Korean and English
- ResCom Hokkaido (レスコム北海道合同会社), Sapporo: English
- 住まいの戸田 (Pitat House Chitose), Chitose: sales, rentals and management; Japanese only
- 平和恒産 (Able Chitose-ekimae / Eniwa), Chitose and Eniwa: rentals and investment property; Japanese only
We found no agent in Chitose or Eniwa that works in a foreign language; the Sapporo firms above do, and cover the area. Names taken from the companies' own public websites, so you can see who is active locally. We have no agreement with any of them, this is not a recommendation, and we have not checked their licences on MLIT's register. Contact them directly, or use the form below.
Read this before relying on the numbers
- Closed prices (成約, 2021+) and the buyer survey (2015+) are shown separately and never pooled. Land has survey data only.
- Medians of small samples move with the mix of what sold. They are not an index.
- Nothing on this page is a forecast. Past price changes do not predict future ones.
Source: MLIT Real Estate Information Library (processed by Japan House Prices). https://www.reinfolib.mlit.go.jp/ — 出典：国土交通省 不動産情報ライブラリ（https://www.reinfolib.mlit.go.jp/）のデータを加工して作成. Chitose (01224) and Eniwa (01231), 2015Q1–2026Q1; related-party deals, auctions/mediation and adjoining-land purchases excluded; our medians, not MLIT's. Land prices: 「国土数値情報（地価公示データ）」（国土交通省）（https://nlftp.mlit.go.jp/ksj/gml/datalist/KsjTmplt-L01-2026.html）を加工して作成 · 「国土数値情報（都道府県地価調査データ）」（国土交通省）（https://nlftp.mlit.go.jp/ksj/gml/datalist/KsjTmplt-L02-2026.html）を加工して作成 (CC BY 4.0). Exchange rate: ECB 2026-09-25. Not investment advice. Last reviewed 2026-09.
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